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Failed Strategies for Iraq
 
  Tactics vs. Strategies:  Bush said "I know this: The only way we will not succeed is if we lose our nerve, and that we're constantly changing tactics on the ground to achieve our objectives." (source)
But losing nerve is not the only way to "not succeed." The simplest way is to have a government with no idea what it's doing that constantly makes strategic blunders. But he denies this, because failing through incompetence would be the government's fault, but if it's "loss of nerve," then it's our fault.
It's odd how some people believe the governement is so incompetent it can't even deliver the mail, but at the same time believe it will do a great job turning a severly damaged Arab nation, pinned between Iran and Syria, into a pro-American democracy. They even believed the hard part would be over in a six weeks. They had no idea what they were doing. Here are the stregic blunders.
 
 
 
Rumsfeld 8s
Rumsfeld has long claimed the war cannot be lost in Iraq, but only in the US. He means that only if we Americans lose our nerve and stop supporting him, can he fail to be victorious with his high-tech army. If the war fails it's got to be our fault; it could not possibly be his.
Considering the billions of dollars and thousands of lives he's been given for a war he promised would last at most 6 months and more likely six weeks, blaming American voters seems a bit uncharitable. The country has understood what he cannot admit: that he is making things worse not better. We all want a stable democratic Iraq that poses no threat, and he could be sure of getting more treasure and lives to spend if we knew that's what they would buy. But, thanks to Rumsfeld, this is now out of the question for years to come.
 
 
Strategies for the Iraq war:
1. Shock & Awe. They promised this would gain us instant respect, which was supposed to head off any insurgency.
2. Minimize troop strength. Rumsfeld fought hard for this. It's been called the worst mistake of the war. At first Rumsfeld made light of the chaos.
3. Purge the Baathists and sack the army. We are still trying to reverse this.
4. Require a constitution before giving sovereignty. Reversed June 24, 2004.
5. Require elections before the Iraqis felt ready. DIA & Maliki say divisive campaigning led to the upsurge in sectarian violence.
6. Clear, hold, build. The Kissinger-inspired White House victory plan. The prime example of this strategy was the city of Sammara. Half the population left and then insurgents blew up the Golden Mosque at its center, February 22, triggering the steepest rise in sectarian killing.
7. They stand up, we stand down. The exit strategy. Recent erruptions in the North and South were in towns where this has been tried.
8. Operation Together Forward. Announced in late July and already declared a failure. .   The ammo dump indicator.
As this is written Bush is meeting with his Generals to discuss new strategies.
 
 
  (Rumsfeld) asserted the looting was not as bad as ... reports have indicated and said there was no major crisis in Baghdad. ... "Freedom's untidy, and free people are free to make mistakes and commit crimes and do bad things," Rumsfeld said. ..."Stuff happens," Rumsfeld said.
April 12, 2003
 
 
   
  News: Militia attack ignites US ammo dump in Iraq
zPoint:  Indicates a gross failure of Baghdad pacification strategy.
Militiamen firing mortars detonated a U.S. ammunition dump in Baghdad on Tuesday night, sparking a barrage of explosions that continued to shake the capital on Wednesday morning (Reuters, Oct. 11, '06). The attack came from Abu Dsheer, a mostly Shi'ite area in the Sunni district of Doura. Doura is a small section of Baghdad and was the first and most intense focus of "Operation Together Forward," launched in July by the US to curb Baghdad violence. It was given three months to show significant result. August violence was down a bit, September violence shot up past the July level. A successful mortar attack from the most heavily "secured" area indicates a nearly complete failure to meet the operation's timetable.
 
 
  Problems Afflict U.S. Army Program To Advise Iraqis
By GREG JAFFE, October 18, 2006; Wall St. Journal, Page A1

Senior U.S. military officers in Iraq and the Pentagon say their primary focus is getting Iraqi forces to take over more of the fighting as quickly as possible so U.S. forces can pull back. The 10- to 12-man advisory teams are central to that effort.

President Bush has touted such advisory teams as key to the U.S. strategy for stabilizing Iraq ["when they stand up"] and bringing American troops home ["we will stand down"]. So Col. Demas and his troops expected some of the best instruction the Army had to offer. What they got was a "phenomenal waste of time," the colonel wrote from Iraq last fall, in a report to his superiors.

"In my 28 years of military service I have never seen such an appalling approach to training," he wrote. "Nowhere else in the Army system would this have been acceptable." His soldiers received only a few hours of instruction in Arabic language, Iraqi culture and advising foreign forces, says Col. Demas, who had previously served in Special Forces units.

For many advisers, the growing turmoil has been frustrating. "In theory things should get better with the development of capable Iraqi Army and police units. That's not happening."
 
 
  Q: Why is this battle for Baghdad "definitive"?
     (This is the new strategy called Operation Together Forward)
zFact:Privately, the military is saying that if the US loses, there will be full-scale civil war.

Q: When did it start?
zFact:May 21, 2006. Maliki declared "maximum force" against "sectarian cleansing."
zFact:July 25. Bush announces "Violence in Baghdad is still terrible," and sends more troops, which begin operations on August 7.

Q: What is the new strategy?
zFact:Area cordoned off, and houses searched one by one.
zFact:Arrests made for more than one gun in a house or more than 6 in a mosque.

Q: Is it just a security operation? full story
zFact:No. Once searches are complete, begin debris removal and trash collection.
zFact:Next, fix broken sewers and water mains.
zFact:Then "roll on in and employ those who are out of work."
 
 
  Q: Who is the main target of US forces?
zFact: Both the Sunnis (Al Qaeda and other insurgents) and the Shiites (mainly Sadr's Mahdi Army) are targets. The US tries to appear even-handed.

Q: Is the Iraqi government cooperating?
zFact: Not entirely. The government is dominated by Shiites, and Prime Minister Maliki lashed out at the first joint US-Iraqi operation against a Mahdi Army death squad. He is fully supportive of attacks on Sunni insurgents.

Q: Who is strongest?
zFact: The US has by far the most fire power. The Mahdi Army is much stronger than when the US last fought it in April 2004. It also has 30 representatives in Parilament and much support among the police and military.

Q: How is Baghdad faring economically?
zFact: The gas shortage has pushed the price of gas to $4/gallon, and because the subsidized price is $1/gallon, there is now a fuel-smuggling mafia. Sixty-car all-day gas lines are not uncommon. Electricity service, which averaged 16 hours/day under Saddam, averaged only 8 hours/day in June.
 
 
 
 
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http://zfacts.com/p/460.html | 01/18/12 07:19 GMT
Modified: Sat, 04 Nov 2006 06:52:08 GMT
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