Forecast, Wed., Oct 28, Biden’s chance of winning is now 88%, up 21 points from a low on Aug 31. That’s according to Nate Silver’s graph of Biden vs Trump chance-of-winning. This is not the
April 29. Curve-flattening is complete and we are now over the hill and in the process of steepening the descent. We are trying to accelerate the reduction in confirmed cases and in deaths, which have now exceeded
April 29. Curve-flattening is complete and we are now over the hill and in the process of steepening the descent. We are trying to accelerate the reduction in confirmed cases and in deaths, which have now exceeded 60,000.
Unfortunately, we
The U.S. and S. Korea found their first cases on Jan. 20, one day before we did, and suffered their first fatality on Feb. 20, nine days before we
According to CNN, a CDC “spokesperson” has just denied that COVID-19 has “become the leading cause of death in the nation.” He claimed it’s heart disease, which kills 647,457 per year. What’s that
Mar. 31: For the last week, the data has shown that while the epidemic is still accelerating, it is accelerating more slowly. The result is “curve flattening,” and the implications are pretty dramatic, given the tiny bend
The Chinese were slow to report COVID-19, the disease caused by the new Coronavirus. So Xi received a late warning. But Trump received an early warning. Eleven days before the first known U.S. case
Mar. 27, 2 am ET: For the last three days it looks like the growth rate of identified cases has slowed from about 32% to about 26%. If so, this will soon register as our
Good News: Social distancing is working. You can see the effects in the 2nd graph below that has been updated through March 29. It doesn’t look like much yet, but that is because the special method of graphing compresses the
Mar 8. Virus Math: The average growth rate, over the last week for new coronavirus cases, is 29% per day. That means that if there were 100 new cases today, there would be 129 tomorrow. At this rate,